Modelo vs mercado
Odds Comparison
Probabilidades e Fair Odds do modelo frente aos preços de mercado
(Betano PT, bwin e média de mercado), jogo a jogo — 26 jogos com odds de mercado.
Betano PT + bwin · OddsPapi v4 · recolhidas em 10 Set 2026 13:15 UTC
Probabilidade do modelo
Probabilidade do mercado (normalizada)
Prob. Mercado = 1/odd, normalizada pelo overround quando o mercado
está completo. EV técnico = p × odd − 1 (valor analítico).
Premier League (E0)
0 jogos com oddsSem dados de mercado disponíveis — volta mais perto dos jogos ou quando a coleta publicar odds.
Championship (E1)
12 jogos com odds · recolhidas 13:15 UTC
| Selecção | Prob. Modelo | Prob. Mercado |
Fair | Betano PT | bwin | Média |
Δ (gap) | EV técnico |
| 1x2 |
| Casa | 66.5% | 61.9% | 1.50 | 1.62 | 1.61 | 1.61 | +4.6pp | +7.4% |
| Empate | 16.4% | 23.7% | 6.09 | 4.10 | 4.33 | 4.21 | -7.3pp | -30.8% |
| Fora | 17.1% | 19.4% | 5.86 | 5.30 | 5.00 | 5.15 | -2.3pp | -12.0% |
| ou25 |
| Over 2.5 | 80.5% | 61.2% | 1.24 | 1.65 | 1.62 | 1.64 | +19.4pp | +31.6% |
| Under 2.5 | 19.5% | 45.8% | 5.13 | 2.27 | 2.10 | 2.19 | -26.3pp | -57.4% |
| btts |
| Ambas marcam | 70.9% | 59.7% | 1.41 | 1.65 | 1.70 | 1.68 | +11.2pp | +18.8% |
| Selecção | Prob. Modelo | Prob. Mercado |
Fair | Betano PT | bwin | Média |
Δ (gap) | EV técnico |
| 1x2 |
| Casa | 29.7% | 39.8% | 3.37 | 2.57 | 2.45 | 2.51 | -10.2pp | -25.6% |
| Empate | 27.6% | 27.4% | 3.63 | 3.60 | 3.70 | 3.65 | +0.2pp | +0.6% |
| Fora | 42.8% | 38.5% | 2.34 | 2.60 | 2.60 | 2.60 | +4.3pp | +11.2% |
| ou25 |
| Over 2.5 | 50.3% | 62.5% | 1.99 | 1.62 | 1.58 | 1.60 | -12.2pp | -19.5% |
| Under 2.5 | 49.7% | 44.4% | 2.01 | 2.30 | 2.20 | 2.25 | +5.2pp | +11.8% |
| btts |
| Ambas marcam | 47.6% | 66.5% | 2.10 | 1.50 | 1.51 | 1.50 | -18.9pp | -28.4% |
| Selecção | Prob. Modelo | Prob. Mercado |
Fair | Betano PT | bwin | Média |
Δ (gap) | EV técnico |
| 1x2 |
| Casa | 12.0% | 29.4% | 8.32 | 3.40 | 3.40 | 3.40 | -17.4pp | -59.1% |
| Empate | 24.6% | 30.3% | 4.07 | 3.35 | 3.25 | 3.30 | -5.8pp | -19.0% |
| Fora | 63.4% | 45.7% | 1.58 | 2.18 | 2.20 | 2.19 | +17.8pp | +38.9% |
| ou25 |
| Over 2.5 | 50.4% | 48.5% | 1.98 | 2.07 | 2.05 | 2.06 | +1.9pp | +3.9% |
| Under 2.5 | 49.5% | 58.3% | 2.02 | 1.75 | 1.68 | 1.72 | -8.8pp | -15.0% |
| btts |
| Ambas marcam | 32.4% | 55.6% | 3.08 | 1.82 | 1.78 | 1.80 | -23.1pp | -41.6% |
| Selecção | Prob. Modelo | Prob. Mercado |
Fair | Betano PT | bwin | Média |
Δ (gap) | EV técnico |
| 1x2 |
| Casa | 67.2% | 47.1% | 1.49 | 2.15 | 2.10 | 2.12 | +20.1pp | +42.8% |
| Empate | 19.0% | 29.8% | 5.27 | 3.30 | 3.40 | 3.35 | -10.9pp | -36.4% |
| Fora | 13.8% | 28.4% | 7.23 | 3.55 | 3.50 | 3.52 | -14.5pp | -51.2% |
| ou25 |
| Over 2.5 | 60.9% | 56.0% | 1.64 | 1.80 | 1.77 | 1.78 | +4.9pp | +8.7% |
| Under 2.5 | 39.1% | 51.0% | 2.56 | 2.02 | 1.90 | 1.96 | -11.9pp | -23.4% |
| btts |
| Ambas marcam | 51.9% | 61.5% | 1.93 | 1.60 | 1.65 | 1.62 | -9.6pp | -15.7% |
| Selecção | Prob. Modelo | Prob. Mercado |
Fair | Betano PT | bwin | Média |
Δ (gap) | EV técnico |
| 1x2 |
| Casa | 31.0% | 35.1% | 3.23 | 2.82 | 2.87 | 2.85 | -4.2pp | -11.9% |
| Empate | 21.7% | 29.8% | 4.61 | 3.30 | 3.40 | 3.35 | -8.2pp | -27.4% |
| Fora | 47.3% | 40.4% | 2.11 | 2.55 | 2.40 | 2.48 | +7.0pp | +17.2% |
| ou25 |
| Over 2.5 | 74.5% | 54.4% | 1.34 | 1.88 | 1.80 | 1.84 | +20.1pp | +37.0% |
| Under 2.5 | 25.5% | 52.5% | 3.92 | 1.93 | 1.88 | 1.91 | -27.0pp | -51.4% |
| btts |
| Ambas marcam | 68.3% | 60.6% | 1.46 | 1.65 | 1.65 | 1.65 | +7.7pp | +12.7% |
| Selecção | Prob. Modelo | Prob. Mercado |
Fair | Betano PT | bwin | Média |
Δ (gap) | EV técnico |
| 1x2 |
| Casa | 63.1% | 36.2% | 1.58 | 2.77 | 2.75 | 2.76 | +26.9pp | +74.3% |
| Empate | 24.7% | 31.5% | 4.05 | 3.15 | 3.20 | 3.17 | -6.8pp | -21.6% |
| Fora | 12.2% | 38.0% | 8.22 | 2.67 | 2.60 | 2.63 | -25.8pp | -67.9% |
| ou25 |
| Over 2.5 | 36.8% | 46.5% | 2.72 | 2.20 | 2.10 | 2.15 | -9.7pp | -20.9% |
| Under 2.5 | 63.2% | 60.6% | 1.58 | 1.67 | 1.63 | 1.65 | +2.6pp | +4.3% |
| btts |
| Ambas marcam | 32.5% | 54.8% | 3.08 | 1.85 | 1.80 | 1.82 | -22.3pp | -40.7% |
| Selecção | Prob. Modelo | Prob. Mercado |
Fair | Betano PT | bwin | Média |
Δ (gap) | EV técnico |
| 1x2 |
| Casa | 65.0% | 53.5% | 1.54 | 1.87 | 1.87 | 1.87 | +11.5pp | +21.5% |
| Empate | 20.8% | 25.8% | 4.81 | 3.95 | 3.80 | 3.88 | -5.0pp | -19.5% |
| Fora | 14.2% | 25.8% | 7.02 | 3.85 | 3.90 | 3.88 | -11.6pp | -44.8% |
| ou25 |
| Over 2.5 | 54.0% | 64.7% | 1.85 | 1.57 | 1.52 | 1.54 | -10.7pp | -16.5% |
| Under 2.5 | 46.0% | 41.9% | 2.18 | 2.42 | 2.35 | 2.38 | +4.0pp | +9.6% |
| btts |
| Ambas marcam | 47.0% | 66.2% | 2.13 | 1.52 | 1.50 | 1.51 | -19.2pp | -29.0% |
| Selecção | Prob. Modelo | Prob. Mercado |
Fair | Betano PT | bwin | Média |
Δ (gap) | EV técnico |
| 1x2 |
| Casa | 21.3% | 43.0% | 4.70 | 2.35 | 2.30 | 2.33 | -21.7pp | -50.5% |
| Empate | 22.7% | 28.4% | 4.41 | 3.45 | 3.60 | 3.52 | -5.7pp | -20.1% |
| Fora | 56.0% | 33.6% | 1.78 | 3.00 | 2.95 | 2.98 | +22.4pp | +66.7% |
| ou25 |
| Over 2.5 | 64.7% | 54.8% | 1.55 | 1.88 | 1.77 | 1.82 | +9.9pp | +18.1% |
| Under 2.5 | 35.3% | 51.8% | 2.83 | 1.93 | 1.93 | 1.93 | -16.5pp | -31.9% |
| btts |
| Ambas marcam | 54.7% | 59.7% | 1.83 | 1.70 | 1.65 | 1.68 | -5.0pp | -8.3% |
SouthamptonvsBristol City
| Selecção | Prob. Modelo | Prob. Mercado |
Fair | Betano PT | bwin | Média |
Δ (gap) | EV técnico |
| 1x2 |
| Casa | 94.0% | 58.8% | 1.06 | 1.70 | 1.70 | 1.70 | +35.2pp | +59.9% |
| Empate | 3.3% | 25.0% | 30.08 | 4.00 | 4.00 | 4.00 | -21.7pp | -86.7% |
| Fora | 2.6% | 21.6% | 38.01 | 4.75 | 4.50 | 4.62 | -19.0pp | -87.8% |
| ou25 |
| Over 2.5 | 99.2% | 62.7% | 1.01 | 1.62 | 1.57 | 1.59 | +36.5pp | +58.2% |
| Under 2.5 | 0.8% | 43.8% | 119.00 | 2.32 | 2.25 | 2.29 | -42.9pp | -98.1% |
| btts |
| Ambas marcam | 85.4% | 62.9% | 1.17 | 1.60 | 1.58 | 1.59 | +22.5pp | +35.8% |
| Selecção | Prob. Modelo | Prob. Mercado |
Fair | Betano PT | bwin | Média |
Δ (gap) | EV técnico |
| 1x2 |
| Casa | 40.8% | 45.2% | 2.45 | 2.22 | 2.20 | 2.21 | -4.4pp | -9.8% |
| Empate | 59.2% | 29.0% | 1.69 | 3.40 | 3.50 | 3.45 | +30.2pp | +104.2% |
| Fora | 0.0% | 31.5% | — | 3.25 | 3.10 | 3.17 | -31.5pp | -100.0% |
| ou25 |
| Over 2.5 | 1.6% | 54.4% | 61.27 | 1.88 | 1.80 | 1.84 | -52.7pp | -97.0% |
| Under 2.5 | 98.4% | 52.5% | 1.02 | 1.93 | 1.88 | 1.91 | +45.9pp | +87.4% |
| btts |
| Ambas marcam | 0.0% | 59.7% | 77915600549.65 | 1.67 | 1.68 | 1.68 | -59.7pp | -100.0% |
| Selecção | Prob. Modelo | Prob. Mercado |
Fair | Betano PT | bwin | Média |
Δ (gap) | EV técnico |
| 1x2 |
| Casa | 48.9% | 41.7% | 2.05 | 2.40 | 2.40 | 2.40 | +7.2pp | +17.3% |
| Empate | 28.6% | 29.6% | 3.50 | 3.35 | 3.40 | 3.38 | -1.1pp | -3.5% |
| Fora | 22.5% | 34.5% | 4.44 | 2.95 | 2.85 | 2.90 | -11.9pp | -34.6% |
| ou25 |
| Over 2.5 | 38.9% | 52.9% | 2.57 | 1.93 | 1.85 | 1.89 | -14.0pp | -26.4% |
| Under 2.5 | 61.1% | 53.9% | 1.64 | 1.88 | 1.83 | 1.85 | +7.2pp | +13.3% |
| btts |
| Ambas marcam | 39.9% | 59.2% | 2.50 | 1.70 | 1.68 | 1.69 | -19.2pp | -32.5% |
| Selecção | Prob. Modelo | Prob. Mercado |
Fair | Betano PT | bwin | Média |
Δ (gap) | EV técnico |
| 1x2 |
| Casa | 31.3% | 32.3% | 3.20 | 3.20 | 3.00 | 3.10 | -1.0pp | -3.0% |
| Empate | 16.9% | 28.8% | 5.93 | 3.35 | 3.60 | 3.48 | -11.9pp | -41.5% |
| Fora | 51.9% | 44.2% | 1.93 | 2.27 | 2.25 | 2.26 | +7.6pp | +17.2% |
| ou25 |
| Over 2.5 | 93.2% | 57.1% | 1.07 | 1.78 | 1.72 | 1.75 | +36.1pp | +63.1% |
| Under 2.5 | 6.8% | 49.6% | 14.71 | 2.05 | 1.98 | 2.02 | -42.8pp | -86.3% |
| btts |
| Ambas marcam | 87.2% | 62.5% | 1.15 | 1.60 | 1.60 | 1.60 | +24.6pp | +39.4% |
League One (E2)
0 jogos com oddsSem dados de mercado disponíveis — volta mais perto dos jogos ou quando a coleta publicar odds.
League Two (E3)
0 jogos com oddsSem dados de mercado disponíveis — volta mais perto dos jogos ou quando a coleta publicar odds.
Liga Portugal (PT)
10 jogos com odds · recolhidas 13:15 UTC
| Selecção | Prob. Modelo | Prob. Mercado |
Fair | Betano PT | bwin | Média |
Δ (gap) | EV técnico |
| 1x2 |
| Casa | 44.1% | 17.5% | 2.27 | 5.90 | 5.50 | 5.70 | +26.5pp | +151.2% |
| Empate | 16.9% | 25.8% | 5.91 | 3.85 | 3.90 | 3.88 | -8.9pp | -34.4% |
| Fora | 39.0% | 62.9% | 2.56 | 1.60 | 1.58 | 1.59 | -23.9pp | -38.0% |
| ou25 |
| Over 2.5 | 94.1% | 52.5% | 1.06 | 1.88 | 1.93 | 1.91 | +41.6pp | +79.2% |
| Under 2.5 | 5.9% | 54.0% | 16.85 | 1.93 | 1.77 | 1.85 | -48.1pp | -89.0% |
| btts |
| Ambas marcam | 89.3% | 52.4% | 1.12 | 1.87 | 1.95 | 1.91 | +36.9pp | +70.5% |
| Selecção | Prob. Modelo | Prob. Mercado |
Fair | Betano PT | bwin | Média |
Δ (gap) | EV técnico |
| 1x2 |
| Casa | 36.6% | 38.0% | 2.73 | 2.67 | 2.60 | 2.63 | -1.3pp | -3.5% |
| Empate | 40.1% | 30.8% | 2.49 | 3.25 | 3.25 | 3.25 | +9.4pp | +30.4% |
| Fora | 23.2% | 37.6% | 4.30 | 2.72 | 2.60 | 2.66 | -14.3pp | -38.1% |
| ou25 |
| Over 2.5 | 17.6% | 48.4% | 5.68 | 2.15 | 1.98 | 2.06 | -30.8pp | -63.6% |
| Under 2.5 | 82.4% | 58.3% | 1.21 | 1.72 | 1.71 | 1.72 | +24.1pp | +41.3% |
| btts |
| Ambas marcam | 21.6% | 55.9% | 4.63 | 1.83 | 1.75 | 1.79 | -34.3pp | -61.4% |
| Selecção | Prob. Modelo | Prob. Mercado |
Fair | Betano PT | bwin | Média |
Δ (gap) | EV técnico |
| 1x2 |
| Casa | 10.3% | 8.9% | 9.73 | 11.50 | 11.00 | 11.25 | +1.4pp | +15.5% |
| Empate | 0.1% | 18.2% | 1163.08 | 5.50 | 5.50 | 5.50 | -18.1pp | -99.5% |
| Fora | 89.6% | 78.7% | 1.12 | 1.28 | 1.26 | 1.27 | +10.9pp | +13.8% |
| ou25 |
| Over 2.5 | 99.3% | 57.1% | 1.01 | 1.78 | 1.72 | 1.75 | +42.2pp | +73.8% |
| Under 2.5 | 0.7% | 49.6% | 144.32 | 2.05 | 1.98 | 2.02 | -48.9pp | -98.6% |
| btts |
| Ambas marcam | 10.3% | 41.9% | 9.73 | 2.40 | 2.37 | 2.38 | -31.7pp | -75.5% |
Academico ViseuvsVitoria Guimaraes
| Selecção | Prob. Modelo | Prob. Mercado |
Fair | Betano PT | bwin | Média |
Δ (gap) | EV técnico |
| 1x2 |
| Casa | 0.0% | 27.8% | 3259155.32 | 3.80 | 3.40 | 3.60 | -27.8pp | -100.0% |
| Empate | 24.4% | 29.8% | 4.10 | 3.30 | 3.40 | 3.35 | -5.5pp | -18.4% |
| Fora | 75.6% | 48.5% | 1.32 | 2.07 | 2.05 | 2.06 | +27.1pp | +55.8% |
| ou25 |
| Over 2.5 | 41.2% | 48.8% | 2.43 | 2.10 | 2.00 | 2.05 | -7.6pp | -15.5% |
| Under 2.5 | 58.8% | 58.3% | 1.70 | 1.75 | 1.68 | 1.72 | +0.5pp | +0.8% |
| btts |
| Ambas marcam | 0.0% | 54.6% | 3259155.32 | 1.83 | 1.83 | 1.83 | -54.6pp | -100.0% |
| Selecção | Prob. Modelo | Prob. Mercado |
Fair | Betano PT | bwin | Média |
Δ (gap) | EV técnico |
| 1x2 |
| Casa | 80.7% | 38.0% | 1.24 | 2.67 | 2.60 | 2.63 | +42.8pp | +112.8% |
| Empate | 14.7% | 31.5% | 6.79 | 3.15 | 3.20 | 3.17 | -16.8pp | -53.2% |
| Fora | 4.5% | 36.7% | 22.10 | 2.80 | 2.65 | 2.73 | -32.2pp | -87.7% |
| ou25 |
| Over 2.5 | 48.3% | 44.0% | 2.07 | 2.30 | 2.25 | 2.27 | +4.3pp | +9.9% |
| Under 2.5 | 51.7% | 62.7% | 1.93 | 1.62 | 1.57 | 1.59 | -11.0pp | -17.6% |
| btts |
| Ambas marcam | 26.6% | 52.5% | 3.77 | 1.91 | 1.90 | 1.91 | -25.9pp | -49.4% |
| Selecção | Prob. Modelo | Prob. Mercado |
Fair | Betano PT | bwin | Média |
Δ (gap) | EV técnico |
| 1x2 |
| Casa | 0.0% | 85.5% | — | 1.18 | 1.16 | 1.17 | -85.5pp | -100.0% |
| Empate | 100.0% | 13.2% | 1.00 | 7.10 | 8.00 | 7.55 | +86.8pp | +655.0% |
| Fora | 0.0% | 6.7% | — | 16.00 | 14.00 | 15.00 | -6.7pp | -100.0% |
| ou25 |
| Over 2.5 | 0.0% | 66.7% | — | 1.53 | 1.47 | 1.50 | -66.7pp | -100.0% |
| Under 2.5 | 100.0% | 40.2% | 1.00 | 2.52 | 2.45 | 2.48 | +59.8pp | +148.5% |
| btts |
| Ambas marcam | 0.0% | 41.9% | — | 2.37 | 2.40 | 2.38 | -41.9pp | -100.0% |
| Selecção | Prob. Modelo | Prob. Mercado |
Fair | Betano PT | bwin | Média |
Δ (gap) | EV técnico |
| 1x2 |
| Casa | 19.3% | 18.6% | 5.19 | 5.50 | 5.25 | 5.38 | +0.7pp | +3.6% |
| Empate | 20.4% | 24.8% | 4.89 | 4.05 | 4.00 | 4.03 | -4.4pp | -17.7% |
| Fora | 60.3% | 62.9% | 1.66 | 1.60 | 1.58 | 1.59 | -2.6pp | -4.2% |
| ou25 |
| Over 2.5 | 71.6% | 55.6% | 1.40 | 1.85 | 1.75 | 1.80 | +16.0pp | +28.8% |
| Under 2.5 | 28.4% | 50.9% | 3.52 | 1.98 | 1.95 | 1.97 | -22.4pp | -44.1% |
| btts |
| Ambas marcam | 59.2% | 54.5% | 1.69 | 1.87 | 1.80 | 1.83 | +4.7pp | +8.6% |
| Selecção | Prob. Modelo | Prob. Mercado |
Fair | Betano PT | bwin | Média |
Δ (gap) | EV técnico |
| 1x2 |
| Casa | 2.0% | 36.2% | 50.36 | 2.82 | 2.70 | 2.76 | -34.2pp | -94.5% |
| Empate | 0.5% | 30.3% | 199.16 | 3.30 | 3.30 | 3.30 | -29.8pp | -98.3% |
| Fora | 97.5% | 39.8% | 1.03 | 2.57 | 2.45 | 2.51 | +57.7pp | +144.8% |
| ou25 |
| Over 2.5 | 96.8% | 49.6% | 1.03 | 2.05 | 1.98 | 2.02 | +47.2pp | +95.1% |
| Under 2.5 | 3.2% | 57.0% | 31.64 | 1.78 | 1.73 | 1.75 | -53.8pp | -94.5% |
| btts |
| Ambas marcam | 2.0% | 56.7% | 50.36 | 1.78 | 1.75 | 1.76 | -54.7pp | -96.5% |
| Selecção | Prob. Modelo | Prob. Mercado |
Fair | Betano PT | bwin | Média |
Δ (gap) | EV técnico |
| 1x2 |
| Casa | 9.8% | 36.2% | 10.19 | 2.77 | 2.75 | 2.76 | -26.4pp | -72.9% |
| Empate | 12.6% | 32.0% | 7.91 | 3.15 | 3.10 | 3.12 | -19.4pp | -60.5% |
| Fora | 77.5% | 38.3% | 1.29 | 2.67 | 2.55 | 2.61 | +39.2pp | +102.4% |
| ou25 |
| Over 2.5 | 87.1% | 44.0% | 1.15 | 2.30 | 2.25 | 2.27 | +43.1pp | +98.1% |
| Under 2.5 | 12.9% | 62.7% | 7.74 | 1.62 | 1.57 | 1.59 | -49.8pp | -79.4% |
| btts |
| Ambas marcam | 64.5% | 52.8% | 1.55 | 1.91 | 1.88 | 1.90 | +11.7pp | +22.2% |
| Selecção | Prob. Modelo | Prob. Mercado |
Fair | Betano PT | bwin | Média |
Δ (gap) | EV técnico |
| 1x2 |
| Casa | 31.1% | 66.2% | 3.22 | 1.53 | 1.49 | 1.51 | -35.1pp | -53.0% |
| Empate | 68.9% | 24.1% | 1.45 | 4.20 | 4.10 | 4.15 | +44.8pp | +186.0% |
| Fora | 0.0% | 16.1% | — | 6.20 | 6.25 | 6.22 | -16.1pp | -100.0% |
| ou25 |
| Over 2.5 | 0.7% | 59.2% | 153.19 | 1.72 | 1.66 | 1.69 | -58.5pp | -98.9% |
| Under 2.5 | 99.4% | 48.0% | 1.01 | 2.12 | 2.05 | 2.08 | +51.4pp | +107.1% |
| btts |
| Ambas marcam | 0.0% | 55.9% | 2937768837162.75 | 1.78 | 1.80 | 1.79 | -55.9pp | -100.0% |
Ligue 1 (FR)
0 jogos com oddsSem dados de mercado disponíveis — volta mais perto dos jogos ou quando a coleta publicar odds.
Serie A (IT)
0 jogos com oddsSem dados de mercado disponíveis — volta mais perto dos jogos ou quando a coleta publicar odds.
Bundesliga (DE)
3 jogos com odds · recolhidas 13:15 UTC
| Selecção | Prob. Modelo | Prob. Mercado |
Fair | Betano PT | bwin | Média |
Δ (gap) | EV técnico |
| 1x2 |
| Casa | 0.0% | 72.5% | — | 1.38 | 1.38 | 1.38 | -72.5pp | -100.0% |
| Empate | 100.0% | 19.1% | 1.00 | 5.20 | 5.25 | 5.22 | +80.9pp | +422.5% |
| Fora | 0.0% | 13.6% | — | 7.50 | 7.25 | 7.38 | -13.6pp | -100.0% |
| ou25 |
| Over 2.5 | 0.0% | 70.9% | — | 1.42 | 1.40 | 1.41 | -70.9pp | -100.0% |
| Under 2.5 | 100.0% | 35.6% | 1.00 | 2.87 | 2.75 | 2.81 | +64.4pp | +181.0% |
| btts |
| Ambas marcam | 0.0% | 61.7% | — | 1.62 | 1.62 | 1.62 | -61.7pp | -100.0% |
Bayern MunichvsUnion Berlin
| Selecção | Prob. Modelo | Prob. Mercado |
Fair | Betano PT | bwin | Média |
Δ (gap) | EV técnico |
| 1x2 |
| Casa | 0.0% | 87.3% | — | 1.14 | 1.15 | 1.15 | -87.3pp | -100.0% |
| Empate | 100.0% | 10.5% | 1.00 | 9.25 | 9.75 | 9.50 | +89.5pp | +850.0% |
| Fora | 0.0% | 6.5% | — | 16.50 | 14.50 | 15.50 | -6.5pp | -100.0% |
| ou25 |
| Over 2.5 | 0.0% | 83.3% | — | 1.21 | 1.19 | 1.20 | -83.3pp | -100.0% |
| Under 2.5 | 100.0% | 22.7% | 1.00 | 4.50 | 4.33 | 4.42 | +77.3pp | +341.5% |
| btts |
| Ambas marcam | 0.0% | 57.6% | — | 1.75 | 1.72 | 1.74 | -57.6pp | -100.0% |
Bayer LeverkusenvsRB Leipzig
| Selecção | Prob. Modelo | Prob. Mercado |
Fair | Betano PT | bwin | Média |
Δ (gap) | EV técnico |
| 1x2 |
| Casa | 92.4% | 51.3% | 1.08 | 1.95 | 1.95 | 1.95 | +41.1pp | +80.1% |
| Empate | 7.6% | 24.5% | 13.08 | 4.05 | 4.10 | 4.08 | -16.9pp | -68.9% |
| Fora | 0.0% | 29.6% | — | 3.45 | 3.30 | 3.38 | -29.6pp | -100.0% |
| ou25 |
| Over 2.5 | 47.4% | 72.7% | 2.11 | 1.39 | 1.36 | 1.38 | -25.3pp | -34.8% |
| Under 2.5 | 52.6% | 33.6% | 1.90 | 3.05 | 2.90 | 2.98 | +18.9pp | +56.4% |
| btts |
| Ambas marcam | 0.0% | 73.0% | 12692.44 | 1.37 | 1.37 | 1.37 | -73.0pp | -100.0% |
La Liga (ES)
1 jogos com odds · recolhidas 13:15 UTC
Real MadridvsRayo Vallecano
| Selecção | Prob. Modelo | Prob. Mercado |
Fair | Betano PT | bwin | Média |
Δ (gap) | EV técnico |
| 1x2 |
| Casa | 95.5% | 88.5% | 1.05 | 1.13 | 1.13 | 1.13 | +7.0pp | +7.9% |
| Empate | 3.3% | 11.0% | 30.28 | 8.50 | 9.75 | 9.12 | -7.7pp | -69.9% |
| Fora | 1.2% | 4.9% | 84.55 | 23.00 | 17.50 | 20.25 | -3.8pp | -76.1% |
| ou25 |
| Over 2.5 | 89.0% | 77.5% | 1.12 | 1.31 | 1.27 | 1.29 | +11.5pp | +14.9% |
| Under 2.5 | 11.0% | 28.6% | 9.13 | 3.50 | 3.50 | 3.50 | -17.6pp | -61.6% |
| btts |
| Ambas marcam | 43.0% | 49.8% | 2.32 | 2.02 | 2.00 | 2.01 | -6.7pp | -13.5% |